Hard-Offence
0xd2f85bab86fc94830984fbd55625a80fe17426ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$102.91
Total PnL
$-37.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$30.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$22.73
$2.73
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.67
$6.67
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.61
$5.61
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
27 shares @ 40.2¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.10
$-3.90
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
22 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.08
$-9.92
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
4152 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
23 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.71
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
19 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$40.00Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$200.00Apr 27, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$110.00Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$44.38Apr 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$40.15Apr 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$10.00Apr 27, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?$10.00Apr 27, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$10.00Apr 27, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 27, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$20.00Apr 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.00Apr 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$30.00Apr 26, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $23.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.