Appropriate-Shortwave
0xd37ce49f56f4efda8ae931605a6fcac144b8189a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$209.03
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 69.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.35
$9.35
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
34 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$31.53
$1.53
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
83 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$30.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?
40 shares @ 42.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$29.55
$12.55
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$26.48
$1.48
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.93
$1.93
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
34 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.22
$2.22
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
18 shares @ 55.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.56
$2.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25?
833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?
301 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$35.24May 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?$10.12May 9, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?$40.65May 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?$30.60May 8, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?$10.13May 8, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?$26.79May 8, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$133.93May 8, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$35.49May 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?$15.20May 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$10.13May 7, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$35.46May 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?$7.08May 7, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-04?$16.13May 6, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$30.40May 5, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?$10.18May 5, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$10.23May 5, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?$5.35May 5, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-04?$10.11May 4, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$15.22May 4, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?$0.00May 3, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $19.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 06:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".