Worthy-Mill
0xd3a6e523c440f94f9259398fbcf7b5cc5ccffd55
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$17.8K
Total PnL
$-70.5K
Realised
$-566.57
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
10000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.3K
$-150.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3676 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.6K
$38.60
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4310 shares @ 22.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.9K
$926.65
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23336 shares @ 5.7¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$291.70
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
31764 shares @ 3.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$460.58
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2617 shares @ 45.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$300.72
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1060 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$11.13
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
614 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$202.47
$-104.30
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
43 shares @ 17.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.54
$8.30
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3613 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.81
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$60.87Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.99Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$0.83Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.00Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$4.2KJul 8, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $11.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.