Cautious-Compliance
0xd3de5841d93c211eeda91628127e84fed4b4fe0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.29
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-27.91
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
19 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-1.08
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 16.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.54
$-2.33
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
60 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.51
$-1.94
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
19 shares @ 10.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-1.42
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
16 shares @ 24.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.48
$-3.27
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.45
$0.06
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.43
$0.07
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
60 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.42
$-1.61
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-4.72
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.26
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?$0.23Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?$1.20Jun 11, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.64Jun 9, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?$0.82Jun 8, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$92.74Jun 7, 04:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$94.23Jun 7, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$11.30Jun 6, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$0.12Jun 6, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$3.10Jun 6, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$4.94Jun 6, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 6, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.83Jun 6, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.37Jun 6, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.61Jun 6, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.27Jun 6, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLReya FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.47Jun 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares election interference national emergency? $5.23Jun 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$8.94Jun 6, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.