Cautious-Compliance
0xd3de5841d93c211eeda91628127e84fed4b4fe0e
Quality score
79/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$12.49
Win rate
60%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
67 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$65.01
$0.82
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
66 shares @ 90.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$59.89
$0.36
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
89 shares @ 61.5¢·now 61.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$54.51
$-0.15
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$51.16
$0.34
- NO
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
48 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.45
$3.24
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
43 shares @ 77.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$41.67
$8.12
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
75 shares @ 82.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$38.50
$-22.91
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
37 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.09
$0.66
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
84 shares @ 39.5¢·now 38.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$32.53
$-0.81
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
39 shares @ 81.3¢·now 81.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.13
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$17.7155m ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$0.6956m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$5.3659m ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$0.692h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$6.342h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$6.883h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$4.183h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.283h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.283h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$9.283h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.323h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$5.413h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.353h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$4.873h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.124h ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.124h ago
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.504h ago
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$2.685h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?$8.485h ago
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.335h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 21h ago
- Last active
- 55m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.