Fragrant-Interchange
0xd4932b0fa75ed34bbd4cf90183eb971d91d27f04
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$652.48
Total PnL
$266.52
Realised
$11.06
Win rate
77%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 70.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.85
$65.55
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
144 shares @ 3.7¢·now 28.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.43
$36.11
- YES
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
86 shares @ 10.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.56
$30.96
- YES
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?
88 shares @ 10.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.34
$28.55
- YES
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
184 shares @ 4.9¢·now 18.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.06
$25.01
- YES
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?
100 shares @ 4.1¢·now 32.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$32.70
$28.60
- YES
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 28.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.14
$19.14
- YES
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 2.8¢·now 20.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.05
$17.25
- YES
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 1.9¢·now 33.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.27
$18.18
- YES
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
112 shares @ 6.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$16.80
$10.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?$2.10Jun 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.03Jun 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.03Jun 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.03Jun 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.03Jun 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.03Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.01Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.60Jun 12, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?$0.00Jun 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.20Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.12Jun 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?$1.30Jun 12, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$167.00Jun 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?$1.75Jun 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell in jail before 2027?$1.80Jun 11, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.16Jun 10, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethan Agarwal advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?$0.00Jun 10, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$0.00Jun 10, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cole Bettles receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$0.00Jun 10, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.