Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$130.02
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $130 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6010.1h
- 18:54SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.
Biggest hourly move: -21.0pp at 2d ago (to 6¢).
Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
- 1d ago · -19.0pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -19.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -19.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -21.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -19.0pp → 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point. This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sourcesAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowdune.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.