Frayed-Vault
0xd4f7317eaf098d9958ea4a4860fda106c703aede
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$71.56
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3035 shares @ 62.5¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.5K
$-424.04
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
2523 shares @ 24.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.38
$-462.11
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
5092 shares @ 4.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$145.12
$-67.77
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
480 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$74.47
$-12.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA dip to $120 in April?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.50
$-49.50
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
10100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-56.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
4750 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-256.22
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
3834 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
1100 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-101.40
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$10.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$4.3013d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$22.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$4.4013d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$11.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$44.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$2.3013d ago
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$53.5013d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$73.0414d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$19.5714d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$76.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$83.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$252.0020d ago
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$896.4020d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$48.9820d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$7.7120d ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$56.7021d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$103.2026d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$13.1628d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$79.8529d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $41.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 33d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.