Frayed-Vault
0xd4f7317eaf098d9958ea4a4860fda106c703aede
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$620.92
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$64.45
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3030 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$504.55
$4.55
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
480 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$79.28
$-7.21
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 47.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$37.10
$-56.90
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
10100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-56.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
4750 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-256.22
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
3834 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
1100 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-101.40
- YES
Will NVIDIA dip to $120 in April?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
686 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-588.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$512.52Jun 10, 16:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$65.09Jun 4, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$95.49Jun 4, 08:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$3.13Jun 3, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$7.37Jun 3, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$0.09Jun 3, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$7.82Jun 3, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$61.00Jun 3, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$40.66Jun 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.92Jun 3, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $78.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.