Rash-Molar
0xd50821a81d3218b3eda3c81a5beb088b7e58e84f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$289.66
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-403.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
253 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$226.58
$26.58
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
109 shares @ 27.5¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.36
$-4.64
- NO
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.37
$0.37
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.35
$-2.65
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
694 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-464.00
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
286 shares @ 85.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-243.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?$24.39Jun 1, 07:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$201.68May 31, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$213.91May 31, 23:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$20.00May 30, 09:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $46.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.