Acidic-Sparerib-Bonfire
0xd53c9992215f76df4d0864fa24e8c3949b026409
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.39
Total PnL
$-139.79
Realised
$-4.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.30
$-29.70
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.09
$-19.91
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?
469 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
415 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
254 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-35.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
53 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
22 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 in April?
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$46.49Apr 28, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$4.44Apr 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HBO Max: Stream Movies & TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?$7.71Apr 14, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HBO Max: Stream Movies & TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?$5.00Apr 14, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.11Apr 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$20.26Apr 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$15.00Apr 14, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.69Apr 14, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?$10.00Apr 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in April?$5.00Apr 14, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.00Apr 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$10.00Apr 14, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$20.00Apr 14, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$60.00Apr 14, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.00Apr 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$30.00Apr 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00Apr 14, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $19.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.