0xd543f42b69952e9d63ec25653d78d5106c9818ee
0xd543f42b69952e9d63ec25653d78d5106c9818ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$19.90
Total PnL
$1.28
Realised
$-1.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$2.01
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
7 shares @ 22.4¢·now 37.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.60
$1.03
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
9 shares @ 14.8¢·now 16.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$0.13
- YES
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
1 shares @ 81.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? $1.00May 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$1.01May 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $2.00May 16, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?$0.00May 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$1.00May 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.50May 14, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.55May 14, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?$1.00May 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Mexico" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.02May 13, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$5.72May 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by May 31$1.03May 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$0.90May 12, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)$0.00May 11, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$0.00May 11, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?$0.00May 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)$1.02May 10, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)$1.11May 10, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$0.00May 10, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)$1.00May 10, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$1.02May 10, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".