Abandoned-Brilliant
0xd583e8366094d9e862643d8c9d4a13df8b1a6874
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$142.50
Total PnL
$-261.81
Realised
$9.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$100.00
$68.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.50
$-10.50
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
35510 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-38.95
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
1520 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?
500 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.07
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
301 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.38
- YES
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
132 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$53.00May 23, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$32.00May 23, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$30.00Apr 23, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$3.90Apr 23, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.02Apr 22, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.02Apr 22, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.02Apr 22, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.02Apr 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.02Apr 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.02Apr 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.02Apr 22, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$320.54Apr 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$58.00Apr 21, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$6.00Apr 21, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.80Apr 21, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$116.00Apr 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.96Apr 21, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$26.50Apr 21, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$23.92Apr 21, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$10.00Apr 21, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.