Well-Informed-Pier
0xd5db05423b6718497684ae1bbe1557746d2c3c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-20.3K
Realised
$-127.54
Win rate
42%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
4168 shares @ 0.2¢·now 19.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$816.93
$808.59
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
600 shares @ 66.8¢·now 66.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$399.90
$-0.90
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1524 shares @ 24.4¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$354.33
$-16.95
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1379 shares @ 29.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$331.01
$-68.96
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
540 shares @ 46.8¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$250.88
$-1.59
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
2078 shares @ 3.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$182.88
$120.53
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
11327 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.62
$-45.62
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
11027 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.19
$43.05
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
400 shares @ 7.7¢·now 10.7¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$42.80
$11.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$8.79Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$22.89Jun 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$19.78Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$186.00Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$38.75Jun 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$40.03Jun 13, 11:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.56Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$58.80Jun 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$27.61Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21.83Jun 12, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22.80Jun 12, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$205.73Jun 12, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$148.74Jun 12, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$48.64Jun 12, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$75.16Jun 12, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.60Jun 12, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$28.89Jun 12, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$26.09Jun 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$130.67Jun 12, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $47.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.