Optimistic-Office
0xd5e2e41a63db0fc8d9d67c3dd007d24456936078
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$36.24
Total PnL
$-19.9K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
3814 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.24
$-24.61
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
44978 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
40143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-282.77
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
30550 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-743.32
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
25313 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
21420 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-149.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
10698 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-741.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 26?
7129 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
6663 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-274.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 26?
6051 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-423.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$172.82Jun 3, 09:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.60Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.00Jun 2, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$21.88Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.07Jun 2, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$8.75Jun 2, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$215.24Jun 2, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.94Jun 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$201.01Jun 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.55Jun 2, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$43.67Jun 2, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$51.05Jun 2, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$104.08Jun 2, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.37Jun 2, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$99.81Jun 2, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$102.55Jun 2, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$952.54Jun 1, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.66May 26, 10:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.67May 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$73.36May 25, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $191.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.