Third-Cobweb
0xd60a8fa30d1882f29f3c18fcda293f3c17291bcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$728.59
Total PnL
$-616.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
107 shares @ 93.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.59
$0.59
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
102 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.56
$0.56
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
104 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.17
$0.17
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.05
$0.35
- YES
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
540 shares @ 18.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$72.90
$-27.10
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
54 shares @ 93.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.88
$1.88
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.44
$1.44
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$50.27
$0.27
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.89
$-0.11
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$45.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$52.07Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$102.91Jun 1, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$73.13Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$50.20Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?$102.97Jun 1, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$101.21Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$131.58Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$77.32Jun 1, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$111.73Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$108.11Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$215.85May 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$116.01May 30, 15:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $79.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".