Measly-Cauliflower
0xd63d69a41854525d7d8f4ae190970f8237240aa7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$40.46
Total PnL
$-18.23
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
136 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.39
$1.36
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.99
$0.10
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.78
$0.07
- YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.69
$0.35
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
9 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.63
$0.13
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.57
$0.10
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
136 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.42
$-0.61
- KRISTIANSUND BK
Spread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)
18 shares @ 25.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.99
$-3.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?
67 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
- NO
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$5.49May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)$4.60May 18, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$6.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$6.00May 17, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$6.00May 17, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.28May 16, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.69May 16, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.54May 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.29May 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$6.00May 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.06May 15, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?$1.82May 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?$3.39May 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?$5.20May 15, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$5.71May 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$5.34May 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.45May 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.58May 12, 11:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".