Wasteful-Baobab
0xd658c1a9451e9ca78f8893e27771223e116d2525
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$689.70
Realised
$18.44
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
1525 shares @ 59.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$518.69
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
391 shares @ 71.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$353.65
$73.42
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
280 shares @ 77.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$258.69
$43.13
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
321 shares @ 62.3¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$246.52
$46.52
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
215 shares @ 78.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$173.27
$4.73
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
188 shares @ 79.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$172.57
$24.22
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
209 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.11
$1.05
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
300 shares @ 56.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$127.50
$-40.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$171.70Jun 8, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$164.86Jun 8, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$52.08Jun 8, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$118.29Jun 8, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLECB rate hike in 2026?$351.17Jun 4, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England rate hike in 2026?$26.60Jun 3, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England rate hike in 2026?$23.33Jun 3, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$10.70May 31, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$8.17May 31, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$6.15May 31, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$78.38May 31, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$73.38May 28, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$101.69May 28, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Championships: Czechia vs. Canada$10.12May 26, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Czechia vs. Canada$9.36May 26, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Czechia vs. Canada$26.57May 26, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Czechia vs. Canada$0.89May 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Czechia vs. Canada$9.54May 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$102.05May 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$67.52May 10, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $56.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.