Whole-Sir
0xd67aaf29efcd8cb9f68b55ecaee977881c97661b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$182.07
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-82.65
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?
220 shares @ 48.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$163.56
$56.37
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
310 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.05
$-38.75
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1458 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.46
$-37.16
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
87167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-255.92
- YES
Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?
3554 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
2973 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?
2150 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.28
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1678 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET
1043 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$40.12Jul 2, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$39.84Jul 2, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$0.60Jun 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$23.36Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$23.38Jun 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$16.99Jun 17, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$16.99Jun 16, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$11.96Jun 16, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$11.82Jun 16, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$8.08Jun 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$8.23Jun 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$5.14Jun 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$5.02Jun 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$48.03Jun 14, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$48.05Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$38.24Jun 13, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.27Jun 13, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.77Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.37Jun 13, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.96Jun 13, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $18.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.