Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?
Probability
61¢
1h
+3.5pp
24h
-6.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$368.62
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 61¢; +3.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3059h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 38.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3058.8h
- 13:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3059h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:11PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.5pp
to 61¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 53¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Zoe Kravitz is engaged to be married to Harry Styles by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Zoe Kravitz and/or Harry Styles or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (38.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).