Limping-Elephant
0xd694328441f3df242e2ba8ff72d0ae39cf196488
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$98.30
Total PnL
$-35.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.00
$4.80
- NO
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.00
$4.20
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.90
$0.70
- NO
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$2.50
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.39
$0.89
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.75
$0.25
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$2.15
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
'Tinder for kids' removed from App Store?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNew Half-Life game by June 30?$12.19Jan 31, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Half-Life game by June 30?$5.00Jan 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$3.70Jan 25, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$7.50Jan 8, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$8.50Jan 7, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.10Jan 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31?$1.70Jan 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$8.50Jan 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$6.40Jan 7, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$2.90Jan 3, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by December 31?$10.00Jan 3, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$10.00Jan 3, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?$20.00Jan 3, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$0.96Jan 3, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$9.20Jan 2, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?$11.20Dec 31, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$0.75Dec 31, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$0.75Dec 31, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$0.15Dec 31, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?$1.05Dec 31, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.