Mortified-Roast
0xd6b6f6924341b00626e603240f799644d4b6342b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$48.8K
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$-9.7K
Win rate
24%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
28656 shares @ 69.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.4K
$3.4K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
13891 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$12.8K
$88.14
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
10203 shares @ 90.8¢·now 77.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$7.9K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2818 shares @ 34.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.5K
$485.27
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3195 shares @ 34.3¢·now 26.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$835.38
$-261.46
- NO
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
689 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$637.23
$-10.58
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4664 shares @ 22.0¢·now 11.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$538.74
$-487.40
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
552 shares @ 47.0¢·now 70.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$389.93
$130.64
- YES
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2132 shares @ 4.2¢·now 10.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$214.28
$125.72
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
300 shares @ 56.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$206.96
$38.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$71.12Jun 14, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$64.42Jun 14, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$328.99Jun 14, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$23.81Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$13.11Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$8.09Jun 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$15.17Jun 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$12.16Jun 13, 06:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.59Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$101.79Jun 12, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$377.84Jun 12, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$35.48Jun 12, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$3.78Jun 12, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$10.00Jun 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$33.13Jun 12, 08:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.25Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$57.85Jun 11, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$62.57Jun 11, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$67.40Jun 11, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.1KJun 11, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $139.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.