Limited-Seep
0xd6ddc6559313bcc819f1df1b3647f3930da998ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$14.9K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
73%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
3701 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.7K
$48.42
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
2715 shares @ 71.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$214.70
- NO
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1592 shares @ 32.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$576.12
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
1354 shares @ 75.9¢·now 70.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$947.62
$-80.22
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
806 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$805.53
$120.49
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
900 shares @ 76.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$697.53
$12.61
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
3015 shares @ 22.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$572.85
$-115.07
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
1352 shares @ 24.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$453.07
$127.48
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
1562 shares @ 62.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$421.78
$-554.34
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
400 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$399.80
$39.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$17.14Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$0.78Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$6.61Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$80.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$360.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$3.60Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$80.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$1.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$360.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$4.23Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$65.67Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$295.53Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$3.60Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$1.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$4.24Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$80.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$360.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$3.60Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$360.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$80.00Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
75/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
33 closed markets, 73% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $110.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 06:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.