Modest-Auction
0xd77debb259be5c25fc6334e0684c1116fb90e0d2
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.4K
Total PnL
$604.66
Realised
$147.73
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
7820 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.5K
$-4.16
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
4555 shares @ 79.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.2K
$569.37
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
2398 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.4K
$15.59
- NO
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
973 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$971.98
$8.31
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
800 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$797.20
$2.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
611 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$605.54
$5.31
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
398 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$398.00
$23.88
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
398 shares @ 90.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$398.00
$37.41
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$378.60
$-1.80
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?
298 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$297.25
$11.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$197.812d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$190.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$104.423d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$85.983d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$284.893d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$795.203d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.2K3d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.9K3d ago
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$3.9K3d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.4K4d ago
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$1.4K4d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$229.384d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.6K4d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.9K4d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$566.484d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$3.858d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$54.348d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$32.498d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$360.598d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$990.278d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $579.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.