Multicolored-Hostel
0xd894bd2b1906717b2fee13710d48044020cfe9fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.24
Total PnL
$-3.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 60.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$-0.60
- YES
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 74.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-2.36
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
6 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$1.00Oct 27, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$5.20Oct 27, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$1.00Oct 27, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$1.00Oct 27, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$9.03Oct 27, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$9.00Oct 27, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.00Oct 27, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $3.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 27, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".