Frugal-Flung
0xd89930f4941fbcb78c3afff7424283799fc136f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-77.00
Realised
$9.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
650 shares @ 81.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$568.72
$39.75
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
650 shares @ 82.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$483.94
$-54.46
- NO
Spain snap election called in 2026?
410 shares @ 71.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$318.07
$22.94
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
400 shares @ 76.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$210.00
$-94.00
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
207 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$205.66
$5.66
- YES
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
38 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$33.38
$1.88
- YES
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
115 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.2¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$2.54
$-0.17
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.90
$-2.10
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.30
$-5.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$154.00May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$78.00May 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$20.90May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called in 2026?$183.14May 15, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called in 2026?$76.00May 13, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.03May 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.05May 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.09May 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.90May 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.07May 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.18May 11, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.18May 11, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$1.20May 9, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$3.82May 9, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$6.00May 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$6.79May 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$83.00May 7, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?$1.60May 6, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$23.20May 5, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$8.00May 5, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".