Capital-Dependent
0xd8b416b1bc1681b4d28da1bb9b83405fb29d1217
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$20.28
Total PnL
$-52.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
204 shares @ 5.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.47
$-7.53
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.93
$-2.07
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 15.3¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 5, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 4, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 5, 2026?$1.0312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 4, 2026?$1.0312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.1312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0512h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0312h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$2.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$1.0423h ago
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$2.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.151d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 8?$1.041d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.072d ago
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$10.222d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$10.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?$5.743d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$4.003d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$12.943d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.053d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.983d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.093d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $15.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".