Powerful-Mallard
0xd8d6c4b79b5df4abf579e1ef78de5c23169a358f
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$62.82
Total PnL
$-629.92
Realised
$50.89
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
30 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$27.90
$4.20
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$23.81
$0.77
- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
14 shares @ 18.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.19
$5.59
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.92
$-0.32
- NO
Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
962 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-105.82
- YES
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
924 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-157.08
- NO
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?
652 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-202.12
- YES
Will Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
314 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-84.78
- YES
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
213 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-102.24
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
156 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$102.24Mar 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?$202.12Mar 29, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)$48.00Mar 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?$97.03Mar 25, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$43.46Mar 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$30.75Mar 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$85.28Mar 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$143.93Mar 23, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?$100.16Mar 22, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?$244.00Mar 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?$201.30Mar 20, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)$201.60Mar 18, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?$84.78Mar 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)$153.60Mar 17, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$238.00Mar 17, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)$36.48Mar 16, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$36.52Mar 16, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$38.88Mar 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)$157.08Mar 14, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$195.72Mar 13, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $111.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.