Exemplary-Trick
0xd945e5b59f500ef9425d1098ddd4fb0cad347112
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$37.76
Total PnL
$-54.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
9 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.51
$-0.49
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.06
$-3.94
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 23–30?
6180 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.36
Recent activity
- REWARD$5.13May 18, 10:59 UTC
- REWARD$2.27May 18, 10:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.12May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.66May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REWARD$0.66May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$0.00May 15, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 21?$0.00May 15, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 21?$0.00May 15, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 21?$0.00May 15, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on April 21?$0.00May 15, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$3.02May 15, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 21?$8.40May 15, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 21?$10.19May 15, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 21?$10.31May 15, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on April 21?$20.11May 15, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 21?$10.00Apr 20, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on April 21?$20.00Apr 20, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 21?$10.00Apr 20, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 21?$8.00Apr 20, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 27?$3.02Apr 20, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $227.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".