Probable-Optimal
0xd997fb09f1cf86773525ee2629949e44bf592f9c
active
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.99
Total PnL
$1.60
Realised
$3.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on April 28?
85 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.81
$-0.14
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 28?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.09
$-0.86
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 28?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.08
$-0.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?
15 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.01
$-0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on April 28?$0.006h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.208h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?$2.0310h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.1716h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on April 28?$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 28?$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 28?$1.0017h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?$4.4222h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?$2.1122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?$1.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?$0.531d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?$3.642d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?$1.013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?$0.633d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?$2.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?$1.003d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.903d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 23?$0.003d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.