Subtle-Bid
0xd9aea8aa138470aa5d70a56f32f55ecf6d52f635
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$55.16
Total PnL
$-155.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 23.9¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.99
$2.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.21
$2.21
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?
189 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 14, 2026$2.65
$1.65
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.2¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?$1.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.007h ago
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$1.037h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$1.037h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?$1.037h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?$1.047h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".