Fair-Pickaxe
0xda5cba32a54744fed47f96496abce87c804aba93
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$15.20
Total PnL
$-21.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Paige Loud be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$3.85
$3.65
- YES
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.75
$0.05
- YES
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$0.70
$0.32
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.65
$-0.32
- YES
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.25
- YES
Will Nathan Sage be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.40
$-0.46
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.20
- YES
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.35
$0.25
- YES
Will Cameron Kasky be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.30
$-0.30
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.30
$-1.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$7.29May 17, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$6.36May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.50May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.21May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.28May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.50May 17, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.50May 17, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$7.44May 17, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.50May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.50May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.50May 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.80May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$2.56May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.50May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.21May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.69May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.60May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$3.19May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$3.50May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$3.50May 17, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".