Loving-Download
0xda7fb9acbe667f2046ee8e80b3a062a11d7dc93d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$29.41
Total PnL
$-814.46
Realised
$117.38
Win rate
36%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
145 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.78
$-16.67
- NO
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
17 shares @ 70.5¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$10.03
$-1.96
- NO
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.28
$0.84
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 21.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-0.56
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
1 shares @ 56.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$0.16
- NO
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.60
$-0.09
- NO
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.55
$-1.05
- YES
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
16 shares @ 57.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.29
$-9.08
- YES
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.85
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
694 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-506.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00May 22, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$3.91May 22, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$4.00May 22, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Davis be traded this season?$4.00May 22, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$12.00May 22, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$13.00May 22, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$48.38May 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$9.52Apr 21, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$6.80Apr 21, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.46Feb 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.73Feb 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?$8.03Feb 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$212.29Feb 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$56.09Feb 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$63.48Feb 8, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$37.26Feb 8, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$3.90Jan 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$143.65Jan 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$249.60Jan 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTransgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?$98.80Jan 11, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $124.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".