0xdaf4e3869c35ae9a7eadb75730ce744e360b603c
0xdaf4e3869c35ae9a7eadb75730ce744e360b603c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$47.23
Total PnL
$-17.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.23
$0.02
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.21
$-0.01
- NO
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.20
$0.00
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$5.12
$-0.01
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.99
$-0.14
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.97
$-0.16
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.95
$-0.18
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.82
$-0.31
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.57
$-0.56
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 42.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.17
$-2.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 17?$5.25Jun 17, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25Jun 17, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.26Jun 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 17?$5.25Jun 17, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$5.22Jun 17, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$5.28Jun 17, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.24Jun 16, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.24Jun 16, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$5.22Jun 15, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?$5.25Jun 15, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?$5.22Jun 15, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$5.22Jun 14, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?$5.22Jun 14, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$5.22Jun 14, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$5.21Jun 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$5.21Jun 13, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?$5.21Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$5.21Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$5.22Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$5.21Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.