Polished-Pile
0xdb4dbfbd894e50a756697581e631746130b394b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-99.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1169 shares @ 69.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$695.28
$-114.72
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$142.86
$42.86
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.28
$66.28
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
167 shares @ 30.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.00
$60.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
109 shares @ 45.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.14
$38.14
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.68
$-22.32
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$11.54
$-8.46
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
150 shares @ 6.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.72
$-8.28
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 1)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 21, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $166.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.