Wallet profile

Zesty-Terracotta

0xdc03d611e5bcc9f1c87edb95edeb91671471804c

activity 70/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

87

Open notional

$5.5K

Total PnL

$-404.3K

Realised

$-20.5K

Win rate

41%

27 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 87

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$38.4K

Trades

2

Buy share

37%

Window

May 21, 04:30 UTC → Jun 8, 21:05 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

42/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

41% win rate over 27 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
review

24 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

37%

Sample

limited

3 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$24.4K · 63% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?63% of recorded volume$24.4KWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?22% of recorded volume$8.6KWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?14% of recorded volume$5.5K

Profile dimensions

Activity59 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence90 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry17 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk70 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
24
Avg trade size
$2.1K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 11, 09:21 UTC
Last active
Jul 22, 15:07 UTC
Win rate sample
27 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 08:45:29 UTC·src:Polymarket Data