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PoliticsExpires Jun 30, 2026

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-9.9pp

24h Vol

$3.9K

Liquidity

$21.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-15.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 04:30
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1579.5h

    LOW
  • 04:30Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1579h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 04:30Price

    Probability down -15.9pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -17.9pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -18.1pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -15.1pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -14.1pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -10.9pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -12.4pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -9.3pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election. A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election. The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Alerts

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