Impure-Breadfruit
0xdc5dc8de19bbbcab9fedabf62948905055e7fac4
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$7.55
Total PnL
$-193.83
Realised
$8.80
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.77
$-6.23
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
553 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$-5.48
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
94 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-6.80
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
122 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.61
$-9.39
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
61 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$-2.26
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
18 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.01
$-4.99
- YES
Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?
1522 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
958 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$31.28May 4, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$30.95May 4, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$21.00May 2, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$7.69Apr 29, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$8.43Apr 29, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$5.27Apr 28, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?$3.77Apr 23, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$10.00Apr 23, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?$12.00Apr 22, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?$2.00Apr 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$10.00Apr 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$5.00Apr 20, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.