Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.2pp
24h Vol
$28.98
Liquidity
$18.90
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 41¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 77.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3080.1h
- 15:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.1pp
to 41¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 40¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 42¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 44¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.4pp
to 43¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.3pp
to 46¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.7pp
to 47¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.2pp
to 49¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.3pp
to 49¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.8pp
to 48¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.4pp
to 47¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.8pp
to 47¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.0pp
to 46¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.0pp
to 46¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.0pp
to 49¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 50¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.4pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.7pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.3pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.8pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.9pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.4pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.7pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.9pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.2pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.8pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.0pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (77.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).