Eager-Platinum
0xdd0763fff679d448305825d545665cfc98225f53
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$108.93
Total PnL
$-13.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
18 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
13 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.42
$0.42
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?
9 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
9 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
9 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$8.91
$-0.09
- NO
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.10
$0.10
- MADISON KEYS
Paris: Madison Keys vs Sarah Rakotomanga
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 15?$2.00May 14, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis: Madison Keys vs Sarah Rakotomanga$5.01May 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?$5.00May 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$5.00May 14, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9.01May 14, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$6.00May 14, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$11.00May 14, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?$9.02May 14, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51.34May 14, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$3.01May 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 14?$4.00May 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$3.01May 14, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 14?$4.00May 14, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$14.30May 14, 13:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $9.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.