Which-Harbor
0xdd281ff191de5cf61822cf5a500da28544c2d7ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-401.99
Realised
$26.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6938 shares @ 39.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.4K
$728.54
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16445 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.6K
$-196.60
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1026 shares @ 39.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$107.69
$-292.31
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1419 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.64
$-156.01
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
751 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-128.45
- YES
James Rodríguez: 1+ goals
359 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-113.77
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
351 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-59.64
- PORTUGAL
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
282 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.22Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Rodríguez: 1+ goals$116.10Jun 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$201.74Jun 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$617.38Jun 17, 02:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$424.29Jun 16, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$424.54Jun 16, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$287.26Jun 16, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$284.42Jun 16, 18:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$170.46Jun 8, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.07Jun 8, 22:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $187.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.