Marvelous-Message
0xdd9f3d41d166ee393e78e19f93be2a6004257f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
900 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$823.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
1000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$765.00
$15.00
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
734 shares @ 65.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$674.88
$195.15
- NO
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
469 shares @ 57.3¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$316.74
$47.96
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
419 shares @ 47.5¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.59
$56.70
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
200 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$195.50
$2.70
- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
196 shares @ 43.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.38
$31.58
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
448 shares @ 67.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.31
$-212.69
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
360 shares @ 41.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.80
$-94.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
99 shares @ 50.7¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.13
$-22.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$5.88Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $5.00Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $0.15Jun 12, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $0.84Jun 12, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$73.49Jun 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$821.95Jun 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.00Jun 9, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$107.00Jun 9, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$5.87Jun 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$72.38Jun 5, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$34.50Jun 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$649.25Jun 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.30Jun 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$100.58Jun 4, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$12.99Jun 4, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by May 31, 2026?$13.51Jun 4, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.6KJun 4, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$192.80Jun 1, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $234.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.