Pitiful-Birdcage
0xde12fe7e3a0ae452f59247b642cd47159acdfb14
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$325.00
Total PnL
$6.37
Realised
$-4.48
Win rate
50%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
50 shares @ 55.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$50.00
$22.40
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$50.00
$25.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
40 shares @ 72.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$40.00
$10.98
- YES
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
25 shares @ 21.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.56
$19.19
- NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
20 shares @ 85.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$20.22
$2.99
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$20.00
$10.00
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$20.00
$10.00
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$19.99
$3.59
- NO
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.57
$9.57
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$18.94
$7.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$10.50Apr 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$0.69Apr 21, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$0.59Apr 21, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.94Apr 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.94Apr 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.94Apr 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.94Apr 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.94Apr 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.94Apr 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$0.92Apr 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$28.40Apr 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$14.20Apr 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.80Apr 21, 13:56 UTC
- SPLITStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$20.00Apr 20, 15:48 UTC
- SPLITJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 20, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$16.28Mar 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$23.00Mar 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$18.32Mar 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$2.75Mar 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$18.32Mar 29, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".