Emotional-History
0xde23865b33d84d8cd7c8939f5b8e35f02f9162e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$104.50
Total PnL
$-412.00
Realised
$13.86
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
101 shares @ 62.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.22
$10.61
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
56 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.87
$2.80
- NO
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
4 shares @ 34.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$3.84
$2.48
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
22 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.53
$-0.11
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.81
$0.73
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 23.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$0.27
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.24
$0.08
- NO
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?
45 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.02
$-5.15
- NO
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
632 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-68.26
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
183 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-27.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$4.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?$5.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$11.23May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$47.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$57.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$77.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$133.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?$153.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$164.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$248.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$295.00May 25, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$3.16Feb 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELL1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?$35.72Feb 8, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$25.46Feb 8, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$135.84Feb 8, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$24.05Feb 8, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$80.81Feb 8, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$11.56Feb 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?$2.60Jan 11, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?$22.88Jan 11, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $82.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 03:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".