0xde54125c80f803a1f86f1ab7f1caddcca8f76941
0xde54125c80f803a1f86f1ab7f1caddcca8f76941
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$22.89
Total PnL
$1.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.09
$8.09
- YES
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$4.76
$3.76
- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.70
$1.70
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Mar 1, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?$1.00Mar 1, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 1, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 1, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.01Mar 1, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$3.05Mar 1, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$2.00Jan 25, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$2.00Jan 25, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 25, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 25, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 17, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Jan 17, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$1.00Jan 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Jan 17, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.