Meager-Airline
0xdf4f97197d91559dc52afcc4c3dee15022118fe8
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
103
Open notional
$78.16
Total PnL
$-404.75
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
38 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.28
$-0.02
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6 shares @ 84.7¢·now 88.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.16
$0.24
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
9 shares @ 30.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.12
$1.28
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.95
$-0.04
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$2.62
$0.21
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
4 shares @ 58.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$0.17
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
23 shares @ 10.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.56
$0.19
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.52
$0.04
- YES
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
4 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$2.52
$0.08
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.52
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$2.47Aug 2, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$2.50Aug 2, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.83Aug 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$8.84Aug 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.83Aug 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$8.84Aug 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 12PM ET$1.60Aug 1, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 12PM ET$2.47Aug 1, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$2.84Aug 1, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.23Jul 31, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$8.13Jul 31, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$2.43Jul 31, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$2.49Jul 31, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.48Jul 31, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$2.46Jul 31, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2AM ET$2.48Jul 31, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$2.67Jul 31, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$8.53Jul 30, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$4.98Jul 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHYPE Up or Down on July 30?$2.50Jul 30, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.