Untrue-Croup
0xdf6cafedd729f199bb0e88ecb8d5bbff19ebeb44
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$10.3K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$260.20
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1430 shares @ 90.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.4K
$111.97
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
1650 shares @ 78.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$33.61
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
1969 shares @ 45.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$256.65
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
4072 shares @ 23.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$794.06
$-173.28
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
800 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$740.00
$12.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
570 shares @ 70.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$564.59
$163.69
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
670 shares @ 62.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$539.35
$119.35
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
481 shares @ 56.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$430.18
$160.61
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
450 shares @ 88.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$393.75
$-4.45
- NO
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
460 shares @ 78.2¢·now 84.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$387.77
$28.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$38.44Jun 13, 06:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$34.00Jun 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$2.67Jun 12, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$0.72Jun 12, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$0.71Jun 12, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$16.40Jun 12, 05:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.89Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$0.80Jun 12, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.90Jun 11, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$31.20Jun 11, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$85.00Jun 11, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$86.00Jun 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$10.29Jun 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$76.00Jun 11, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$291.40Jun 11, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$42.00Jun 11, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$48.00Jun 11, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $40.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.