Voluminous-Checkbook
0xdf6fb75bbe381c8d5b79b59f95b805934076faf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$540.14
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$73.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
594 shares @ 75.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$540.14
$90.14
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3198 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- NO
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1332 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2025-09-09?
1238 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1131 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-950.00
- YES
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
848 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-89.04
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
502 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
362 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$208.50Jul 19, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$16.68Jul 19, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$942.87Jul 19, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 19, 22:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$100.91Jul 18, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$102.77Jul 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$201.83Jul 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.40Jul 18, 22:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$122.81Jul 15, 22:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79.24Jul 15, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.11Jul 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$204.20Jul 11, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $161.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 04:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.