Frayed-Hike
0xdfa9d9a6992be1f4fea77558feda76c4e7a53746
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$21.27
Total PnL
$-2.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
19 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 16, 2026$18.17
$0.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?
69 shares @ 7.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.93
$-3.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
44 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.17
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.83May 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.40May 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?$1.13May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?$0.36May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?$1.73May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?$1.96May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$17.46May 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$15.98May 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$67.78May 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$83.25May 13, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$2.14May 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$1.33May 12, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$0.70May 12, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$42.62May 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$40.72May 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$83.42May 12, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$91.46May 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$91.37May 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$3.13May 11, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$0.86May 11, 17:58 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".