Anxious-Invoice
0xdfb79509cc46e3a490b15b01e864ee3af159c940
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$688.41
Total PnL
$28.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
667 shares @ 45.1¢·now 78.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$522.22
$221.22
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
3613 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.18
$34.19
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?
900 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- MOROCCO
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
444 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
178 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?
82 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$0.89Jul 18, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.18Jul 18, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$5.24Jul 18, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.08Jul 18, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?$14.58Jul 15, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?$10.42Jul 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$47.14Jul 15, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jul 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.74Jul 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$97.87Jul 14, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$59.96Jul 11, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jul 11, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Austria: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 11, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$0.00Jul 11, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 11, 19:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.74Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.4KJul 10, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$46.13Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $209.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.