Graceful-Cartel
0xdfd65cfb5f65099c2fc1c1e58561c9fe425bfac2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$64.81
Total PnL
$-75.95
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.66
$-0.34
- NO
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
75 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$9.38
$1.12
- NO
Will Finland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.00
$2.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.23
$1.23
- NO
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
6 shares @ 92.7¢·now 86.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.21
$-0.35
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.07
$0.81
- NO
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.47
$-0.53
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.05
$0.69
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.97
$1.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.10May 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$5.07May 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$3.36May 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.07May 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.08May 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.83May 11, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$5.79May 11, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.03May 10, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?$0.51May 10, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$10.00May 9, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 9, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.03May 9, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.07May 9, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.63May 9, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.07May 9, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.04May 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.33May 9, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.02May 9, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.93May 9, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.07May 9, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".