0xdfdc41c7c52d8e4b8168c54b67e76b5b732a444d
0xdfdc41c7c52d8e4b8168c54b67e76b5b732a444d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$581.64
Total PnL
$-626.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
240 shares @ 76.8¢·now 74.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$179.28
$-5.05
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1188 shares @ 6.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.97
$45.72
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.91
$-0.59
- YES
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
348 shares @ 28.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.14
$-47.85
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
501 shares @ 30.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.06
$-105.15
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$42.50
$-1.30
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.52
$-8.48
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
110 shares @ 41.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.28
$-8.80
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1197 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.98
$-230.47
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
596 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-232.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$59.50Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45.48Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$71.70Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$336.65Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$37.38Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 12, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$55.51Jun 12, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$40.40Jun 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.72Jun 12, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.15Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$9.55Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.15Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.23Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$10.32Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$10.00Jun 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$12.31Jun 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$473.71Jun 10, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$414.50Jun 4, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$414.50May 12, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $126.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.